Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.417145 0.478765 0.545663 0.623596 0.711800 0.808437 0.922245
2025-03-09 0.315186 0.396521 0.492423 0.613474 0.761798 0.937200 1.159907
2025-03-16 0.239251 0.328024 0.441055 0.594660 0.796976 1.053243 1.401192
2025-03-23 0.193035 0.286680 0.414677 0.600763 0.862414 1.214871 1.722769
2025-03-30 0.153012 0.245195 0.379930 0.588597 0.900338 1.344706 2.020771
2025-04-06 0.127191 0.218739 0.361087 0.594685 0.963411 1.516451 2.399667
2025-04-13 0.102258 0.188329 0.330388 0.576781 0.986536 1.631266 2.708685
2025-04-20 0.089123 0.174672 0.323686 0.595286 1.068420 1.845042 3.195584
2025-04-27 0.079023 0.164215 0.320279 0.618160 1.159797 2.084048 3.750799
2025-05-04 0.068463 0.150653 0.308789 0.624392 1.222363 2.281264 4.257910
2025-05-11 0.058960 0.137164 0.294938 0.623605 1.271287 2.459287 4.750458
2025-05-18 0.050857 0.124870 0.281178 0.620450 1.314549 2.630869 5.248905
2025-05-25 0.043966 0.113943 0.268621 0.618309 1.360614 2.815130 5.796275
2025-06-01 0.039085 0.106630 0.262515 0.628693 1.433307 3.058625 6.483948
2025-06-08 0.033787 0.097127 0.249839 0.622688 1.470810 3.236825 7.063157
2025-06-15 0.030553 0.092171 0.246808 0.637902 1.555931 3.520693 7.885116
2025-06-22 0.026541 0.084201 0.235059 0.630743 1.590047 3.701626 8.512997
2025-06-29 0.023931 0.079553 0.230796 0.641012 1.665415 3.978793 9.373229
2025-07-06 0.020509 0.071686 0.216682 0.624209 1.674236 4.110298 9.930268
2025-07-13 0.019023 0.069417 0.217305 0.645738 1.779265 4.469548 11.029288
2025-07-20 0.017818 0.067771 0.219386 0.671499 1.898179 4.872954 12.267444
2025-07-27 0.016143 0.064142 0.215070 0.678946 1.970973 5.175052 13.299868
2025-08-03 0.014439 0.059976 0.208373 0.678560 2.023051 5.432541 14.251630